SEO โปรโมทบล็อกฟรี 1899

สถานที่ท่องเที่ยว

Dear Editor,
I think that is of interest to his newspaper and its readers the conversation I had two days ago with a friend, an expatriate living in Bangkok for 30 years, fully integrated and with a good command of local language. I attacked with a lot of questions about scenarios that can be seen very encouraging for Thailand. We had the opportunity to speak at length and told me his concerns. The one I give my version of our dialogue.
The economy is going very badly. Prices have increased, especially that of petrol (40% increase in a few months) and food, particularly rice, in Thailand? daily bread. This creates a strong discontent, why? as in a chain reaction producing an increase in all other services and the decrease in the purchasing power of wages.
And then the political situation. To understand it we must go back to 1992, when the country was hit by a political crisis that generates? then the serious economic crisis of 1996-97. But I do not have the skills to do a historical treatise. We just since 2006, when the country was a "parliamentary dictatorship" led by Thaksin Shinawatra, a man of enormous wealth, what? also the current owner of English soccer team Manchester City.

In September 2006 a bloodless coup brought the military to power. A military dictatorship "sweet", with almost humanitarian reasons:? They hit a corrupt man who had made the country the land of his collection?.
The military has promised new elections immediately, but in the meantime have rewritten the Constitution and implemented a series of initiatives that were supposed to turn around the country. Then finally the elections in December 2007? democracy is restored. But the result? was different from the expectations of the military and political forces "hidden" that supported them. In practice, after the elections we have a parliament similar to that of the former prime minister Taksin, who has officially abandoned the political arena only to take care of their own affairs and to enjoy the football. True or false, all the show as the eminence grise of the new Prime Minister Samak Sundaravej.
In today's scenario, the forces and personalities that support implementation and acceptance in 2006, in Bangkok, the coup, we are back on track. In particular, five public figures (a former general, an artist-entrepreneurs and three politicians with varying degrees of success) have created a new political cartel, the PDA (People Alliance for Democracy) and several weeks organizing events and demonstrations are always a lot of reception in the media. Furthermore, from May 25, the PDA has a busy road with occasional traffic jams. Of course the theme? monotonous against the Government, and his friends.
In recent months, the popular response to political provocations of the PDA are not unidirectional, even in Bangkok, Thailand for today? as the Rome of the ancient empire. In Bangkok you the country, but it belongs to its intelligentsia does not like this government, on the other hand, even the intelligentsia wants that stability? that allows the flourishing of economic life. Foreign investment, from the time of Taksin, have left and are more and more? leaving the country. It seems that only tourism continues to support the entry of large foreign currency.
The PDA continues to attract a few thousand supporters in the square, but most people are wondering what are your goals do not really want to get reported and where, even why? the characters that drive this protest is not exactly a model of holiness?. It seems now more? folklore that serious policy proposal.

In this situation, what are the possible scenarios? There is much talk of a possible new coup, which in the history of constitutional monarchy in Thailand (from 1932 to present)? almost more? frequent monsoon rains. He fears no one knows if there will be ', but the most? think that today there are no conditions for a repeat year, why? have too many drawbacks and abroad. A heated soup? been set aside just a few months ago.
Another hypothesis? that of a referendum to introduce a new constitution. He was one of the original objectives of this government, what? revoke a written constitution in time of military rule last year to a popular vote and resubmit the changes proposed by the government. Ma? appeared too tight at all a gimmick to save the interests of Taksin and his friends in trouble? with the judiciary, so in these days this way? been abandoned. The government has changed its strategy. Now points to a change in pi? soft to the Constitution, with a parliamentary majority from large arrangements involving the opposition. It might work.
One solution would be to get to new elections. But it's not? cos? easy. In fact many think that this government will not last?, Why? is not giving convincing evidence. Difficult for? will be the alternative? represented by new elections, why? most likely the election results would be confirmed. So? pi? likely a reshuffle or a change of premier.
Finally, the role of the monarchy. The monarchy does not have a story completely clear in the events in Thailand, but its flaws - real or fake - you can tell only very softly in the dark. C '? a law of treason? what? fiercely applied to every violation. Despite this, the monarchy has the undeniable merit of having preserved the unit? the country today and to be a symbol of identity? national.

But until when will be? cos? Every Thai citizen you have questions about the near future of this institution. The king was 80 years old and reigned for over 60 years. There are many different scenarios for its difficult and complex sequence, and each will have? a different impact on the life of the nation. What is the right move, nobody can imagine. S ', I say imagine, because if they can not? talk ...
Thailand, in other words? Today a large board on which you are playing a complex and violent game for power. Many players, many interests, few certainties. Including the most? dramatic? that in this fight who? destined to suffer longer, as usual? the people of middle or low income, which threatens to increase the cost of living.